Rudyard Kipling"
āWhen you're left wounded on Afganistan's plains and
the women come out to cut up what remains, Just roll to your rifle
and blow out your brains,
And go to your God like a soldierā
General Douglas MacArthur"
āWe are not retreating. We are advancing in another direction.ā
āIt is fatal to enter any war without the will to win it.ā āOld soldiers never die; they just fade away.
āThe soldier, above all other people, prays for peace, for he must suffer and be the deepest wounds and scars of war.ā
āMay God have mercy upon my enemies, because I won't .ā āThe object of war is not to die for your country but to make the other bastard die for his.
āNobody ever defended, there is only attack and attack and attack some more.
āIt is foolish and wrong to mourn the men who died. Rather we should thank God that such men lived.
The Soldier stood and faced God
Which must always come to pass
He hoped his shoes were shining
Just as bright as his brass
"Step forward you Soldier,
How shall I deal with you?
Have you always turned the other cheek?
To My Church have you been true?"
"No, Lord, I guess I ain't
Because those of us who carry guns
Can't always be a saint."
I've had to work on Sundays
And at times my talk was tough,
And sometimes I've been violent,
Because the world is awfully rough.
But, I never took a penny
That wasn't mine to keep.
Though I worked a lot of overtime
When the bills got just too steep,
The Soldier squared his shoulders and said
And I never passed a cry for help
Though at times I shook with fear,
And sometimes, God forgive me,
I've wept unmanly tears.
I know I don't deserve a place
Among the people here.
They never wanted me around
Except to calm their fears.
If you've a place for me here,
Lord, It needn't be so grand,
I never expected or had too much,
But if you don't, I'll understand."
There was silence all around the throne
Where the saints had often trod
As the Soldier waited quietly,
For the judgment of his God.
"Step forward now, you Soldier,
You've borne your burden well.
Walk peacefully on Heaven's streets,
You've done your time in Hell."
COMMENT - Sombre, sober reflections on Johor election By P Gunasegaram
Wednesday, July 15, 2026
Malaysiakini : The question is why Umno/BN was so strong and Harapan so weak, and
whether it will translate in some way into parliamentary polls.
Bersamaās poor performance was disappointing if expected, showing a
lukewarm response to multiracialism right now.
The negative
factors for Harapan going forward are its declining support from both
Malays and non-Malays, Umnoās increasingly strong ties with PAS, and the
ability of Bersama to split votes and even get MPs elected from urban
areas in the next polls.
DAP the biggest loser
But before that, a quick recap of the main results to show how the major parties fared:
Umno/BN
surged strongly from 40 seats in 2022 to 48, up a fifth. Of the eight
new seats, MCA secured four, doubling its tally to eight, while MIC
increased its tally by three to four. That implies Umno gained three
seats only.
Harapan suffered,
reducing its number from 12 to eight. The main casualty was DAP, whose
number of seats was reduced from 10 to six. PKR and Amanah maintained
their tally of one each.
It is not as if Umno made major
progress in terms of Malay support, although the increase is still
significant. But the more significant and damaging sign is that Chinese
and Indian support for Harapan has reduced considerably.
DAPās
loss of support has been particularly marked and prominent - from 10 to
six seats, an erosion of two-fifths. If this is replicated, even on a
much smaller scale across the country in parliamentary polls, the effect
on the number of seats for Harapan will be devastating.
DAP is
the largest partner in terms of seats in Harapan with 40 seats. A
two-fifths erosion will take the number of seats down by 16, to 24. A
reduction by a fifth can take it down by eight to 32.
If this is
coupled with a substantial erosion of Malay support for PKR and the
effects of Bersamaās presence as an alternative, PKRās 31 seats now may
be reduced considerably. It likely spells a fatal blow to Harapanās
lofty ambitions to lead a coalition after the GE16.
Full term and retire
With
that, chances for Anwar Ibrahim to be prime minister for a second term
too. If Anwar reads the tea leaves right, he will want to go full term
and retire. This may get pushback from Umno/BN now on a roll. It will be
interesting to see how this plays out.
Anwar Ibrahim
Other
reasons why Umno/BN is strong in Johor include Johor rights, with both
the menteri besar and the Johor royalty asking for a greater share of
revenue produced in the state, ala Sarawak.
A recent ranking of
gross domestic product (a measure of output of goods and services) by
state places Johor at number three, below Selangor at number one and
Kuala Lumpur at number two, just pipping Sarawak at number four.
This
āJohor for Johoreansā clarion call seems to have struck a chord with
voters, as it has for Sarawakians and Sarawak, many of whom are happy
with the apparent support that the Johor royalty gives to the current
state government and its chief minister.
More than any other state
in Malaysia, Johor has benefited much from Singaporeās proximity. The
stateās closeness, not just proximity but in terms of economic and other
ties with Singapore, helps drive incomes higher, making Johoreans
happier.
These are some factors that will not be replicated
elsewhere in Malaysia and will be unique to Johor. But do they form the
main reasons why Umno/BN is so powerful in Johor? Difficult to say.
DAP, PKR under threat
In
addition to this, the erosion of support for both PKR, among the
Malays, and for DAP, among the non-Malays, is a serious threat which
will undermine Harapanās strength in other states even if Harapan
stalwarts say otherwise. The question is by how much.
The other
key factor which will affect outcomes is the Umno/PAS alliance. Despite
Umnoās strength in Johor, PAS is likely much stronger than Umno almost
anywhere else other than Pahang or Sabah.
They will ally for
mutual benefit and make way for each other where the other is stronger.
This would mean PAS would be the stronger of the two with 45
parliamentary seats now, against Umnoās 26 and BNās 30.
BN leaders
And
then there is the possibility of taking another 25 at least with Hamzah
Zainudinās new Parti Wawasan Negara. Wawasan Negara already has 19
seats after its MPs broke away from Bersatu, which has the remaining
six. Bersatu seems only to have a ghost of a chance of retaining them.
With
PKR on the decline, some of their seats won with Malay support may be
fodder for PAS or even Umno. Thus, it is likely that a PAS/Umno
combination may have the most seats post GE16, as I explained in this article.
The Najib factor
That combination towards power seems more likely post the Johor polls. But if Umno thinks this is a licence to give Najib a āget out of jail cardā, they are mistaken - I am not saying it, the numbers say so.
Umnoās
support declined from 88 parliamentary seats in 2013 to 56 in 2018 when
they lost power following the 1MDB scandal to 26 in 2022 when they kept
harping on a pardon/house arrest for Najib.
How
could a move to pardon or put under house arrest a person responsible
for billions stolen from borrowed money in 1MDBās coffers get public
support anywhere? What is it that Umno wants to achieve? I am at a loss
for answers.
Like Harapan, Umno also needs to pay attention to
public sentiment over certain things. By now, it must be quite clear why
an increasing number of people, barring non-Malays, are leaning towards
PAS as their saviour. I donāt support it, but thatās the way the curry
puff crumbles.
Bersama may make some headway in terms of a handful
or two of MPs at the general election, but it is very difficult to
predict their performance except to say they will take votes away from
PKR and DAP, especially in urban areas.
It will take them at least
until the next polls before they can become a threatening third force
with their laudable and very reasonable Malaysian approach - the only
one likely to give long-term benefit to all Malaysians.
COMMENT - Lies, more godamned lies after the citizenship charade got exposed By R Nadeswaran
Malaysiakini : Three days later, Saifuddin assured
the Football Association of Malaysia (FAM) that it had nothing to fear
over claims of doctored papers for the players - as long as the related
processes followed existing laws.
Then, on Oct 9, when it appeared
that none of the players had met the minimum residency period to
qualify, Saifuddin told the Dewan Rakyat that he had exercised his power granted under the Federal Constitution to consider the seven footballers fit to be granted Malaysian citizenship.
Saifuddin
said Section 20(1)(e) provides discretionary power to a home minister
when considering a citizenship application from a foreigner,
particularly in the fulfilment of the minimum residency requirements.
Home Minister Saifuddin Nasution Ismail
But this was flawed, and there was an immediate retort
from Lawyers for Liberty adviser Eric Paulsen, who explained that the
legal provision referenced by Saifuddin relates to calculating the
period of residence for persons who have already resided in the country
for a certain number of years when applying for citizenship.
At
the same Parliament session, Saifuddin revealed that 23 foreigners had
been made citizens by naturalisation since 2018, a figure never made
public before.
He insisted they underwent a lawful and transparent
process in full compliance with the Federal Constitution. But was he
stretching the truth?
EAICās findings
On July 10, the Enforcement Agency Integrity Commission (EAIC) concluded that in the case of the seven players, citizenship approvals were rushed through in an unusually short period.
Entry permits were issued without proper interviews or security screenings, and the Malay language test was mishandled.
On
July 12, still in denial mode, the ministry issued a statement
accepting the recommendations for improvement to the process of managing
citizenship applications by naturalisation.
The
Home Ministry stated: āThe ministry always respects the checks and
balances function of institutions established under the law and will
examine every recommendation submitted for the purpose of strengthening
the public service delivery system and the ministryās governance.ā
But
where were these checks and balances then? On Sept 19 last year,
National Registration Department (NRD) director-general Badrul Hisham
Alias, in a statutory declaration to Fifa, stated
that the players submitted documents listing their grandparentsā
details, conducted cross-verification, and received supporting documents
from Argentina, Brazil, and Spain.
National Registration Department director-general Badrul Hisham Alias
āHowever,
original handwritten birth records couldnāt be retrieved. Instead,
official copies were issued based on secondary evidence,ā he said, but
what secondary evidence was adduced and from where?
What documents
did it receive from these countries? If they had been birth
certificates of the grandparents, NRD would have known none of them were
born in Malaysia.
Side-stepping fundamental issue
But
the Home Ministryās statement side-stepped a fundamental issue. It said
that the discretionary power over citizenship applications is subject
to the provisions of the Federal Constitution and is exercised with due
care, taking into account various factors, including public interest,
national security, and the facts of each case.
The ministry said
it would examine the findings and, together with relevant agencies,
including the NRD, the Immigration Department, and the police, would
identify appropriate areas for improvement.
These include aspects
of strengthening standard operating procedures, documentation,
coordination of work processes, as well as governance mechanisms that
are aligned with best practices in the public service.
Really?
Does the minister have the power to exempt the residency period and
issue citizenship within 40 days instead of 10 years?
Why
then the rebuke from EAIC? Does it also mean that the NRD did not
coordinate with the police and the immigration authorities regarding the
seven players? Then who did the security vetting as required by the
law?
So, the inevitable question is: Did successive home ministers exercise a power they did not have under the Constitution?
Data debunks minister
Twentytwo13.com,
a news portal that specialises in sports and related activities,
compiled data based on information available in the public domain.
What
is startling is that while Saifuddin continues the charade of
āunderwent a lawful and transparent process in full compliance with the
Federal Constitutionā, this table counters that claim.
None would
have met the 10-year requirement, and it goes to show that the
citizenships of these journeymen were fast-tracked, albeit illegally (or
improperly - the polite terminology used by the EAIC).
Take the case of Briton Lee Tuck, who had been playing football in Malaysia since 2017.
Lee Tuck
On
Merdeka Day, 2022, he announced on Instagram that he had become a
naturalised Malaysian citizen. Six months later, he represented Malaysia
in the Asean Football Championship, producing a Malaysian passport.
Where
is he now? After that, he packed his bags and left for Halifax,
England, midway through the season to focus on his real estate career,
but still feels thereās money to be earned in Malaysia and suggested he
would return.
āCurrently, I am not playing for any club.
Terengganu are a great club, and I have many fond memories. My daughters
were born in Kuala Terengganu, so itās a very special place for our
family.
āThus, I am ready to wear the Terengganu jersey if there is an offer from the team,ā New Straits Times quoted him as saying on Feb 27, 2024.
Best of both worlds
Dual
citizenship enables journeymen to enjoy the best of two worlds! No
allegiance, no patriotism, no loyalty, no commitment. Period.
Again,
the same question has to be repeated: Did Tuck and the others surrender
the passports issued by the country of origin, and have they revoked
their citizenship elsewhere because Malaysia does not recognise dual
citizenship?
The time has come for everyone involved - the FAM,
the Youth and Sports Ministry, the sports commissioners, the NRD, and
especially the minister, to come clean by placing all cards on the
table.
They cannot go on dishing out fictitious information or telling tall tales.
Now,
the final and most important questions: Will the citizenships of the 23
players be revoked because they did not meet the residency period?
Secondly,
have they all given up their citizenship from other countries and
submitted their passports to the authorities as required?
Or are some of them having one leg in two countries and enjoying the best of both worlds?
This
scandal is not just football. It is about accountability. Taxpayers
have been misled by shifting narratives, half-truths, and contradictory
announcements - many of which have now been exposed by the EAIC.
Each misleading claim has chipped away at trust in the institutions charged with safeguarding the Constitution.
Respect constitutional recognition
Citizenship
is not a ministerial favour or a sporting shortcut. It is a
constitutional recognition of belonging, and its integrity must be
protected.
When approvals are rushed, rules bent, and oversight
ignored, the cost is borne by ordinary Malaysians who expect honesty and
transparency from their leaders.
The time has come for systemic
accountability. Officials must stop hiding behind legalese and
half-truths. They must disclose the full facts, accept responsibility,
and commit to reforms that ensure citizenship is never again treated as a
bargaining chip.
The
taxpayers whose RM30 million went to the FAM for āboostingā the
national team contributed indirectly to this fiasco, and we have a right
to demand and get the truth.
Accountability is not optional - it
is owed. Malaysians have been misled by half-truths, contradictory
announcements, and evasive statements, all of which the EAIC has now
exposed.
The institutions involved must face the public with
honesty. Taxpayers deserve the truth, not tall tales. Integrity,
transparency, and accountability were promised as the foundation of
governance.
Delivering on those promises is the only way to
restore trust. Although the process should have begun on day one when
Fifaās disciplinary committee made public its findings, it is still not
too late.
COMMENT - Harapan, DAP leaders still in denial about Johor By Ong Kian Ming
Monday, July 13, 2026
Malaysiakini : Communications Minister Fahmi Fadzil had said that āHe has a right to his opinion, but it is incorrect and far from realityā.
While my initial projection of 53 seats for BN was not correct, I do not think it was āfar from realityā.
BN leaders celebrating their victory at the Johor state election on July 11, 2026
In an interview with the Star Online, recorded on July 2, 2026, I predicted that BN would win between 45 and 50 seats, which was more accurate.
Heads in the sand
The
early response from some DAP leaders does not indicate, at least not
publicly, that they have learned crucial lessons from the Johor polls.
DAP
secretary-general Anthony Loke, while stating the fact that many of the
votes which went to Perikatan Nasional in the 2022 state and federal
polls were ātransferredā to BN in this state election, did not bring up
why Harapan failed to win or even make a play for the PN votes, which
were presumably up for grabs.
In addition, he failed to take note
of the fact that Harapan support fell by 10 percent compared to the 2022
general election, which should be Harapanās frame of reference,
especially if it wants to retain the 15 Johor parliamentary seats it won
in GE15.
In addition, even though DAP managed to retain six out
of its 10 incumbent seats, its vote share dropped from 61.2 percent in
2022ās GE15 to 50.8 percent in PRN 2026, representing a drop of 10.4
percent.
This drop in support cannot be attributed to PNās vote
ātransferā to BN but is a reflection of the drop in support for Harapan
and DAP.
Former Damansara MP Tony Pua said in a Facebook post that
DAPās performance was āNot great. But Credibleā. In the same post, he
said that Bersama was a āspoilerā in some seats, which caused the DAP to
lose its former stronghold of Perling, for example.
For
this, he was called out and criticised by many of the two thousand or
so comments on his post, mostly in English (at the time of writing).
Former Damansara MP Tony Pua
There
was absolutely no introspection as to why these voters chose to vote
for Bersama or why DAP failed to retain four state seats, including
Perling.
Johor DAP chief and Kulai MP Teo Nie Ching came closest
to admitting mistakes and shortcomings of the campaign in Johor in her
Facebook post, but this wasnāt enough to stop many of the negative
comments, in different languages, in response.
What went wrong for Harapan and DAP
There were a few things which Harapan and the DAP got wrong in this campaign. These include the following:
(i) Lack of a coherent campaign narrative
Before even the campaign began, Harapan already started on the wrong foot by calling BN ābetrayersā or āpengkhianatā for deciding to contest on its own in the Johor state elections during a heated Harapan convention on May 17, 2026.
The
state Harapan chief, Aminolhuda Hasan, who opted not to contest in the
Johor state polls, even stated that the coalition would āburyā or ākuburkanā BN in Johor for the second time.
This
kind of attacking mindset, perhaps not suitable for a state election in
a place like Johor, where voters value a more practical and
policy-minded approach towards governing, would plague Harapan during
the entire campaign.
This includes Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim calling the caretaker Johor menteri besar candidate (then), Onn Hafiz Ghazi, ākurang cerdikā or ānot very cleverā during one of his campaign speeches.
The
delay in launching the Harapan manifesto, one week after BN had already
launched theirs, and with no clear spokesperson to explain the
manifesto to the public, allowed BN to label the Harapan manifesto as a
ācopy and pasteā version of the BN manifesto.
The attempt,
particularly by DAP, to say that a vote for BN is a vote for PAS, and to
link the Johor campaign to the possible royal pardon (or house arrest)
of former prime minister Najib Abdul Razak, looked increasingly
desperate towards the last days of the campaign and obviously did not
work.
Former prime minister Najib Abdul Razak
In
other words, the entire Harapan campaign in Johor was a āhot messā
compared to the disciplined campaign of BN, led by Onn, and ably backed
up by Khairy Jamaluddin during his campaign for various BN candidates in
the state.
(ii) Lack of coordination among Harapan parties
During
the campaign, I was receiving images and posters via WhatsApp,
Facebook, and Instagram of various ceramah being organised by Harapan
across different constituencies in Johor.
What became clear to me
was that each Harapan component party was running their own party
campaign in Johor rather than running a coordinated campaign under the
coalitionās banner.
For example, most of the ceramahs in seats contested by DAP featured mostly DAP speakers.
Even in seats like Jementah
(part of the Segamat parliamentary constituency, with a PKR MP),
Penggeram (part of the Batu Pahat parliamentary seat, with a PKR MP), Johor Jaya
(part of the Pasir Gudang parliamentary seat, with a PKR MP), and
Perling (part of the Pulai parliamentary seat, with an Amanah MP), I did
not see much of the presence of the respective MPs for these
constituencies in the ceramahs or the walkabouts organised by the DAP.
Perhaps
they were busy campaigning for their respective parties in other
constituencies, but the outcome was that Harapan was not properly
coordinating its campaign.
(iii) Lack of self-awareness, especially among certain DAP leaders
In the interview on the Star Online, I said that BN had two poster boys in the Johor campaign.
Meanwhile, DAP deputy national chairperson Nga Kor Ming, in an exclusive interview with Oriental Daily, said that he would resign from the cabinet if BN won big in Johor and Najib was freed.
This
not only allowed BN leaders, including Umno deputy president and
foreign minister Mohamad Hasan, to urge Nga to resign even before
polling day, but also made this a campaign theme for the Malay voters to
come out and vote against Harapan and to vote for BN.
To a lesser
extent, the remarks by Pua, before and during the Johor campaign, on
the pig-rearing issue and later the LRT3 issue in Selangor, seemingly
directed at the Selangor sultan, also provided ammunition to BN and PN
cybertroopers to galvanise Malay voters to swing their support behind BN
in Johor.
I
do not have conclusive survey data to support this view, but one of the
reasons why I think the Malay voter turnout in the Johor state
election, estimated at 77 percent, was much higher than the Chinese
voter turnout, estimated at 58 percent, was because the Malay voters
were much more motivated to vote against the DAP and Harapan (and in
support of the BN).
In comparison, Chinese voters did not seem to have a compelling reason to vote for Harapan.
I
am making an educated guess that the anti-DAP backlash led to an
anti-Harapan swing, which resulted in Malay support strongly returning
to BN with an estimated 85 percent of Malay support in the Johor state
election.
While the Chinese support for DAP and Harapan remained
above 50 percent, estimated at a maximum of 80 percent overall (but much
less in seats like Paloh
and Yong Peng, which were won easily by the MCA incumbents), this is a
reduction of at least 15 percent compared to the 95 percent support
received by Harapan in the 2022 general election.
Sadly,
many DAP leaders donāt realise that what they say in the ceramah in
their own constituencies will affect the Malay sentiments in other
constituencies, including those contested by PKR and Amanah, which are
mixed and Malay-majority.
DAP may have defended six of the 10
seats it won in the 2022 state elections in Johor, but at what cost,
especially to its coalition partners?
(iv) Losing the moral high ground
One
of the incidents which were reported during the final days of the
campaign was when two DAP campaigners, Ong Hui Xue (special officer to
Deputy Education Minister Wong Kah Woh) and David Tiang (special officer
to Housing and Local Government Minister Nga) were caught on video
hanging a banner with the title āBebas Najibā next to the billboard of Li Tiang Soon (or āAh Soonā), the BN-MCA candidate for Yong Peng.
What
really shocked me was that Wong not only defended the two DAP
campaigners for putting up the banner during a campaign speech in Yong
Peng, but they were even invited on stage by Ipoh Timur MP Howard Lee,
and were then applauded and congratulated by the crowd of supporters!
The
DAP I joined back in 2012 would have criticised BN for hanging banners
demonising party elder Lim Kit Siang for being anti-Islam during
election time, for example, and would have lambasted any BN candidate
for asking their campaigners who hung such banners to go on stage to be
applauded and congratulated!
To me, this was the moment when the DAP lost any moral high ground that it may have had, including on the 1MDB issue.
And this is after the revelation by DAPās former Skudai
assemblyperson, Marina Ibrahim, that a senior DAP leader who had been
campaigning hard against Najib on the 1MBD issue also told her to expect
the former prime minister to be pardoned eventually, in a very
matter-of-fact way.
(v) Loss of trust towards Harapan among Indian voters
I
do not have access to the detailed ballot stream results for Johor,
which would reveal more distinct voting patterns among the Indian
community, but the anecdote by former Klang MP Charles Santiago that
Indian voters are āangry, not disappointedā with Harapan when meeting Indian community leaders and voters is telling.
Former Klang MP Charles Santiago
The
fact that the DAP lost badly in Paloh, a seat with 15 percent Indian
voters, and lost Perling, a previously safe seat with 13 percent Indian
voters, should be an indication that Indian voters have defected from
Harapan in larger numbers in Johor.
This is a reflection of a much
larger national trend where there is no clear narrative from Harapan on
its deliverables to the Indian community, despite numerous declarations
and campaign manifesto promises in the past.
What applies at the national level and what doesnāt
Of
course, there are some trends in Johor that donāt apply to national
sentiment and to other states. This is what some Harapan and DAP leaders
have and will continue to say.
Amanah communications director
Khalid Samad, after the Johor results were announced, said that Harapan
still has the advantage at the federal level because Anwar is a better
prime minister candidate than whoever BN has to offer.
Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim
While this may be the case if we take the latest Merdeka Center polls
as an indication, would Harapan be confident of retaining the same
number of seats which it won in GE15 (Harapan won 82 parliament seats in
2022) if a general election were to be triggered before the end of
2026?
Yes, BN doesnāt have Onn as a poster boy in states other
than Johor, but does Harapan have someone close to the stature and
popularity of Khairy at the national level, who has higher approval
ratings among Malay respondents than Anwar in the recent Merdeka Center
survey?
While Khairy may not be BNās candidate for prime minister,
he has shown in Johor that he can be a very effective campaigner,
perhaps more effective than Anwar himself.
Even if we restrict
BNās popularity to Johor, a translation of the state election to the
parliamentary seats shows that BN would go from winning nine seats in
GE15 to winning 25 out of 26 parliamentary seats in Johor, including
wresting 14 out of the 15 Harapan seats, leaving the latter with only Bakri.
Of
course, Harapan leaders can say that they would fare better in a
general election compared to a state election, but this remains to be
seen.
Other factors could come into play in a general election
that would continue to disadvantage Harapan, including lower turnout
rates among the coalitionās supporters.
Implications for the N Sembilan polls
BN should not be overconfident and expect the same kind of result in the upcoming Negeri Sembilan state election.
They do not have the same kinds of advantages, such as having a popular menteri besar candidate like Onn.
Johor Menteri Besar Onn Hafiz Ghazi
It
is also not the incumbent state government, and Harapan, as the
incumbent, should be able to run a more coherent and disciplined
campaign.
What may continue to apply in Negeri Sembilan is the
loss of confidence and support among Malay voters towards Harapan, as
well as continued implicit and explicit support for BN by PAS.
It
is too early to say whether this will be sufficient for BN to retake
Negeri Sembilan, but what is clear is that another wake-up call has been
issued to Harapan and particularly to the DAP.
I am not confident that DAP leaders have woken up yet.
COMMENT - 12 ways to save Harapan after Johor defeat By Andrew Sia
Malaysiakini : The yellow T-shirts didnāt affect Team Red in the other 13 seats they contested.
The major factor for Harapanās defeat was Perikatan Nasionalās votes going to Umno, with PAS asking supporters to choose Umno.
In other words, the racial strategy of PAS and Umno worked, with MCA and MIC riding on this Malay wave.
Many
are gleefully dancing on the body of the fallen Kancil. But before they
laugh too loudly that Bersama lost all their deposits, here's another
reality check.
Even big parties like PKR and Amanah lost deposits
in seven seats. Heck, the mighty PN āGreen Waveā also came crashing
down, losing deposits in 19 out of 33 seats it contested!
Harapan racial fear tactics?
Political
analyst James Chin said many non-Malays were angry with DAP, so they
just didnāt vote. In simple language, thatās like a kid āmerajukā (throwing a tantrum).
Itās
sad that Chinese voters preferred self-defeating cynicism instead of
doing something positive like giving a boost to Bersama for real
reforms.
Thatās called ācutting off your nose to spite your faceā.
Now they get BN, so they cannot complain. Theyāve made their bed and
must sleep in it.
BN leaders celebrating the coalitionās landslide win in the Johor election on July 11
Itās
like they have just given up on local politics after being let down by
Harapan. And now they just want to focus on making money, maybe by
working in Singapore.
Harapan successfully used racial fear
tactics to hit Bersama, starting by saying that voting for them would
lead to PAS forming an Islamic state.
This is obviously untrue since PAS only contested 11 of 56 seats in Johor. The palace is also moderate and slammed the āhalal laundryā in Muar as āTaliban stateā extremism in 2017.
Iāve
been promoting Bersama on my social media and have been attacked by
what look like Harapan cyber troopers. Unlike the usual Malay racial
flamers hurling insults, they are a bit smarter and write in English.
But
the giveaway is that they have faceless, locked profiles with fewer
than 15 friends. And they use clever racial manipulation, which ordinary
folks may not see through.
How Harapan can salvage itself
But
letās look on the bright side. Harapan has been slapped with a huge
yellow card. They must improve in their last 15 months to avoid a red
card in the next general election.
So here are 12 ways Harapan can save itself.
1) Do serious reforms
Better
late than never. Even if they lose the next election, at least theyāll
go down as heroes. When BN or PN inevitably screw up, Harapan will have
some credibility to regain power.
2) Cheap medical insurance
Control
private hospitalsā profits, or create a good, affordable Madani health
insurance to win back middle-class voters. Waiving the RM1 ATM fee is
just not good enough.
3) Racial harmony law
Pass
this to stop provocations by the likes of Umno Youth chief Dr Akmal
Saleh and gang. This has been talked about since 2023, but it was the
usual NATO (No Action, Talk Only) from Anwar.
4) Anwar should step down
Prime
Minister Anwar Ibrahimās brand is in tatters, so itās best that he
steps down - make him minister mentor to save some dignity.
Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim
If
only Rafizi Ramli were still in PKR to take over. Meanwhile, Anwarās
daughter and PKR deputy president, Nurul Izzah, is clueless and also
part of her daddyās damaged brand.
Another senior PKR leader, Selangor Menteri Besar Amirudin Shari, has also been plagued by scandals.
The
least tainted PKR Malay leader is Negeri Sembilan Menteri Besar
Aminuddin Harun. If Anwar lets him lead, it would be like Dr Mahathir
Mohamad passing power to Abdullah Ahmad Badawi as prime minister because
he was seen as āMr Cleanā.
Pak Lah led BN to its greatest victory in 2004 because he promised reforms (but failed).
5) Provide jobs via e-tuk-tuks
Stop
protecting Grabās e-hailing profits. Allow electric tuk-tuk (beca)
e-hailing as a more affordable option for poorer people to access LRT
stations, like in China.
Many B40 folks, especially Malays, can become owner-drivers. Win votes by giving jobs, just as food delivery does.
Safety will be monitored by the e-hailing apps via passenger ratings and complaints.
6) Orange jumpsuit for Najib
Make former prime minister Najib Abdul Razak and other convicted VIPs wear the orange jumpsuit when in court.
This
is a powerful symbol that Harapan is serious about battling corruption.
Thereās no need to give face to Umno anymore after their betrayal in
Johor.
7) Local council elections
Start
with Malay cities like Kota Baru, Kuantan, and Shah Alam to reduce
racial protests. Next, Kuala Lumpur, which is half Malay and half
non-Malay.
Then maybe the Selangor state capital of Shah Alam
(under a Harapan-appointed city council, mind you) will build pedestrian
sidewalks to LRT3 stations without waiting for a viral video to shame it into last-minute action.
The LRT3 in Shah Alam
8) Redraw seats fairly
One urban vote should equal one rural vote. Stop electoral manipulation and gerrymandering.
Many
suburban seats like Bangi, Gombak, and Selayang in Selangor have huge
Malay-majority populations but can only choose one MP. Meanwhile, the
same number of rural voters can choose six MPs!
Donāt punish
urban voters, said Suhaizan Kaiat, the Johor Amanah deputy president.
Itās unfair to make urban votes less valuable than those in much smaller
rural seats.
This will benefit Harapan, so what are they waiting for? Umnoās approval? Will Anwar wake up and prove heās ācukup jantanā or man enough to do this?
9) Fight corruption
Clean
up the MACC, then make it answer to Parliament, not the prime minister.
Set up an Ombudsman system comprising respected retired judges with
powers to probe anyone.
Pass an unexplained wealth law, as former Klang MP Charles Santiago proposed.
So
if a civil servant earning RM7,000 monthly has three big bungalows and
five luxury cars, they can be quickly seized if they canāt explain how
they paid for them. No need for forever court cases like Najib.
10) Political funding law
Use
this to control the disease of āpolitical donationsā buying over
leaders and policies. Umno also promised this in their 2022 manifesto,
so there are no excuses.
11) Recognise UEC
Penang,
Selangor, Sabah, and Sarawak already do. What is Anwar waiting for? The
nod from the DNAA guy (Umno president and deputy prime minister Ahmad
Zahid Hamidi)?
12) Should DAP leave?
If no serious reforms are started soon, DAP should leave Putrajaya before they drown with the sinking Anwar ship.
Return to the old fiery DAP as an āopposition from within Madaniā, just as MCA and Akmal have been doing.
Conclusion
Harapan has been spiralling down since the Sabah elections, and now Johor.
But itās still possible to pull the plane up from the nosedive if Harapan takes decisive emergency action.
COMMENT - Durian Tunggal case and the legacy of Zahid's 'shoot first' rhetoric By Commander S THAYAPARAN (Retired) Royal Malaysian Navy
Malaysiakini : Whether people think of these men as criminals or victims is
irrelevant. What we have here and in many other cases involving the
police in alleged or confirmed extrajudicial killings is the state
security apparatus taking the law into their hands and, in the process,
attempting to cover it up.
In nearly all these cases, the police
claim that its officers were attacked or in fear of their lives, or the
victims possessed dangerous weapons.
Sifting through gruesometruth,deadlylies
Remember the death in custody
of A Kugan at the Taipan police station in Subang Jaya, Selangor? Most
people would be familiar with the gruesome post-mortem pictures of
Kugan, but to me what is even more sinister was the attempted cover-up.
If his family didnāt barge into the mortuary,
the truth or the inkling of it would most probably be cremated or
buried. The family could not even grieve in peace, with mourners being arrested during the funeral.
The lies or misconduct of the first pathologist (which only warranted a reprimand) seemed like an apathetic shrug from the state, as if the murder of Kugan did not even warrant a sophisticated cover-up.
And because of the propaganda for some, Kugan will always remain the āsuspected luxury car thiefā who died in custody.
Three
years ago, two siblings detailed the horror they experienced when they
were detained by the state security apparatus at the Selangor police
headquarters in Shah Alam.
You can read about it here
and, of course, the feeble attempts by the police higher-ups for the
brothers to make a āpolice reportā, which they said would be
investigated fairly and transparently.
The duelling narratives in the shootings at Rawang,
Selangor, a couple of years back, are something Malaysians are used to.
The family of the deceased had made serious allegations against the
police.
Prima facie, it would seem that the police were lying when it came to the alleged criminal history of V Janarthanan and his stay in this country.
Funeral of Rawang shooting victim G Thavaselvan, September 2019
What
did the Coronerās Court say about this shooting? From reportage -
āCoroner Rasyihah Ghazali said there was a criminal element in the case
and that there was an abuse of power by the authorities in the fatal
shooting of G Thavaselvan, 31, S Mahendran, 23, and Sri Lankan national J
Vijayaratnam, 40.
āLawyer M Visvanathan, who acted for the family of the deceased, confirmed the verdict in the inquest.ā
Weaponising racism, bigotry
These,
of course, are the numerous racial flashpoints in this country because
the majority of non-Malays view the state security apparatus as enablers
of hegemonic Malay political structures.
When Ahmad Zahid Hamidi served as the home minister when Umno was in power, he advised a shoot-to-kill policy because the Malay community is normally the victim of crimes:
āWhat
is the situation of robbery victims and murder victims during
shootings? Most of them are our Malays. Most of them are our race.
āI
think the best way is that we no longer compromise with them. There is
no need to give them any more warning. If (we) get the evidence, (we)
shoot first.ā
Ahmad Zahid Hamidi was home minister in 2017
And
who could forget when the former police chief of Terengganu claimed
that Malays do not participate in gangs because of their culture and
religion?
What we have to understand is that any attempt at
oversight necessarily means confronting the racism and bigotry that
permeate these institutions.
Lawyer Rajesh Nagarajan, representing the families of the executed citizens in Durian Tunggal, said, āThis is murderā.
Gobind
Singh Deo said, āThe police do not reclassify cases, especially to
serious capital offences such as homicide, unless there is a solid
evidential basis to do so.ā
So the question is, what is taking so long? Maybe this has something to do with what a former BN secretary-general said about who is in the attorney-general hot seat:
āWhat
I said about the attorney-general (is) I am stating facts on the ground
- that (there is) fear (among) the Malays that probably, if the AG is
not a bumi or Malay, then there is a fear of bias.
A more dangerous Malaysia
This is about systemic dysfunction and the collusion between the political class and a different kind of criminal enterprise.
I will end this piece with this quote from Lawyers for Liberty when the Court of Appeal reaffirmed the acquittal of now-deceased corporal Jenain Subi:
āThe
courtsā support for trigger-happy police does not make Malaysia any
safer. In fact, it will make Malaysia a more dangerous place, because
any person who flees from the police is now liable to be shot, and if he
or she is wrongly killed, it is now open for the police to claim
mistake or accidental death.ā
To this day, nobody from the state
security apparatus has explained the machete which was found in the car
that Aminulrasyid Amzah had taken for a joyride, which resulted in his death.
COMMENT - Dear Harapan, can you hear the song of angry men? By Yiswaree Palansamy
Sunday, July 12, 2026
Malaysiakini : Harapan took its loyal supporters for fools, believing its tired and
increasingly irrelevant battle cry and Nga's childish attempts to use Rosmah Mansor as a political diversion would still resonate.
It
threw every trick in the book at the campaign, yet kept pulling the
same rabbit out of the hat, an appeal that has long since lost its
potency with voters.
Even so, it seemed to believe that a token
effort would somehow deliver a landslide victory. Again, it took the
people of Johor for fools, only to face their seething wrath.
Unpacking the sentiments
As
a Johorean, I will attempt to unpack the sentiments that appear to have
shaped the stateās political mood. It is really not rocket science.
Voters are often far more practical than politicians give them credit
for.
The 1MDB narrative has lost much of its political mileage.
For years, the issue was the centrepiece of the oppositionās campaign
against BN, but the Johor results suggest that the issue no longer carries the same weight among many voters as it once did.
The
political silver bullet that was expected to end BNās appeal appears to
have lost its impact. The old script is no longer producing the same
reaction.
Rosmah is no longer the figure that keeps voters awake
at night; instead, concerns have shifted towards what they perceive as
the arrogance of power.
Rosmah Mansor
The
fear factor has changed. The issue is less about past personalities and
more about whether those currently in power are seen as overconfident,
disconnected or taking voters for granted.
For many Johoreans,
bread-and-butter issues remain far more immediate than political
narratives. Jobs, wages, economic opportunities and the future prospects
of their children are concerns that cannot be solved through slogans or
campaign rhetoric.
A voter may tolerate political differences, but uncertainty about employment and livelihoods is a far more pressing matter.
Livid Indian voters
The Indian communityās support for Harapan appears to have also weakened very, very significantly.
The
fact that MIC, a party often written off as politically irrelevant
within the community, managed to retain or win seats, including in
contests against DAP, should serve as a wake-up call.
The message from some voters appears simple. It is not because they love BN, but it was āasalkan bukan Harapanā
(as long as it is not Harapan). When a party once considered
politically marginal can outperform expectations, it suggests a deeper
dissatisfaction that cannot be dismissed so simply.
Beyond
politics, voters also judge the government based on everyday realities,
particularly the state of public education and healthcare.
I have
received numerous complaints from government doctors and teachers
voicing frustrations with the government's problem-solving approach in
these matters.
They
requested anonymity, of course, because the government would rather
conduct a witch-hunt than actually address the problems mentioned.
These
are not abstract policy discussions; they are services that directly
affect families. When schools struggle and healthcare facilities remain
under pressure, voters naturally question whether political promises
have translated into meaningful improvements.
In the end, the
Johor election may have reflected a familiar political instinct. Voters
sometimes choose the villain they know over the friend they feel has
quietly betrayed their trust.
It is not necessarily an endorsement
of everything the old order represents, but rather a rejection of what
some voters perceive as disappointment, overpromising or a lack of
delivery from the alternative.
Lack of action on anti-corruption pledge
In
fact, there have been quiet conversations within some quarters of the
Indian community for a while now: yes, Najib "stole" money, but at least
he provided livelihoods.
When this sentiment starts translating into voter apathy, it signals that Harapan is in deep trouble.
The
fact that voters are willing to look past corruption of this scale
suggests that Harapan has not done itself any favours on the
anti-corruption front.
It
also implies that whatever gains people expected from a cleaner
government have failed to materialise in ways they can feel in their
daily lives.
This
is a telling admission. It suggests that, for a segment of voters,
corruption is not judged in the abstract but weighed against tangible
outcomes such as jobs, income, and opportunity.
If a leader seen
as corrupt is remembered as someone who delivered on that front, while a
government elected on a reform platform is seen as falling short
economically, then the anti-corruption argument alone loses its
persuasive power.
Disillusionment
of this kind rarely stays confined to one community; it tends to be a
warning sign of a broader erosion of trust that could shape voting
behaviour well beyond the immediate group where it first takes root.
The
lesson from Johor is perhaps uncomfortable for all sides. Voters may
forgive old mistakes, but they are far less forgiving when they feel
ignored.
The next litmus test in this? Negeri Sembilan state polls. All the best, Harapan.
Yiswaree Palansamy is a member of the Malaysiakini team.
COMMENT - Johor protest vote will wake Harapan up By Andrew Sia
Tuesday, July 07, 2026
Malaysiakini : Just two months ago, Zahid said PAS had traitors within, and that blocked cooperation with Umno.
So why are BN and PAS now in a loving embrace? It's as if there was a secret āpolitical khalwat (close proximity)ā between the parties, which has now become pregnant with meaning for all to see.
PAS
pretended to be āholyā and honest to fight bribery, but now
passionately embraces what it had slammed as a tainted party. What a
joke.
Vote BN to free Najib
Not only do we get PAS by voting BN. Another bonus is that it may lead to Najib Abdul Razak being freed!
His son Nazifuddin said that a major BN win in Johor will send a āstrong signalā that the people āstill cherishā his father and want to see the former premier receive a royal pardon.
This āupgradesā BN to a three-in-one product of shampoo and conditioner plus moisturiser.
The extra ooomph is an indirect endorsement by PAS of the felon Najib.
Ex-PM Najib Abdul Razak
Both
of them did another backroom deal before the 2018 election. At that
time, PAS fielded candidates in so many unwinnable seats, hoping to suck
away Malay votes from Pakatan Harapan.
For this āfavourā, PAS allegedly received RM90 million from Umno.
But the move backfired spectacularly, and led to the splitting of Malay votes and the toppling of both Umno and Najib.
This
time in Johor, both PAS and Umno hope to consolidate the Malay vote
behind BN. But will voters approve of this twisted charade?
Damaged brand
Don't
forget that in the 2022 general election, PAS and Bersatu (Perikatan
Nasional) rode a āGreen Waveā to big gains with their slogan āPrihatin, Bersih, Stabilā or "Caring, Clean, Stable".
PN
was touted as the cleaner, more religious option than Umno, which
carried the baggage of mega scandals of 1MDB, Felda and missing combat
ships.
But with PASā latest embrace of Umno, will that damage the Green Wave brand?
Wasn't it bad enough with Bersatu (the Malay word for united) now becoming berpecah (broken) after the expulsion of its former deputy Hamzah Zainudin?
Will Malay voters wake up to the double talk of PAS, which changes its stand as the political winds blow?
PAS
went from supporting DAP in 2013, to then getting āmarriedā to Umno via
Muafakat Nasional in 2019. Then they broke up over PASā so-called
āinfidelityā with āthird partyā Bersatu.
This love-hate relationship now sees them hugging each other again, casting aside the jilted lover of Muhyiddin Yassinās party.
I can almost imagine PAS singing the song āPeaches and Herbsā:
I was a fool to ever leave your side, Me minus you is such a lonely ride, Reunited, and it feels so good, Reunited 'cause we understood, There's one perfect fit, And, sugar, this one is it.
Wounded Harapan
As for Harapan, political scientist Ong Kian Ming has predicted they will suffer a crushing defeat in Johor.
Harapan leader Anwar Ibrahim bent over backwards for over three years to please Umno and broke promises of reform.
PM Anwar Ibrahim campaigning for Harapan candidates in Johor
Supporters became angry, weakening Harapan. Then a well-fed reptile saw the chance to turn around and bite Anwar in Johor.
As the Malays say, āpadan mukaā or "serves you right".
Bersama underdogs
This gives space for Parti Bersama Malaysia to capture ādisillusioned votersā.
Not
only from those exasperated with Harapan's failures, but also from
those disenchanted with the cynical games of both PAS and Umno.
Bersama has succeeded in fielding 15 candidates in Johor, barely a month after being taken over by two former PKR leaders.
The
candidates were not chosen for political bootlicking, but based on
merit as self-made professionals, businesspeople who want real change.
The team is running on a shoestring budget, using unpaid volunteers and a rented truck as a mobile campaign platform.
This is because they refuse to take āpolitical donationsā from tycoons, which will come with demands for favours later.
āHow are big campaign events of other parties being funded?ā asked Bersama leader Rafizi Ramli in a ceramah.
In contrast, the party will reveal how it gets its funding and how it's spent, starting with the Johor election.
Rotan naughty kids
But why vote for Bersama when it only has modest aims to be a vocal opposition in Johor?
Because even if Harapan wins big in Johor, its power is limited as the palace has the final say.
As former Umno leader Puad Zarkashi claimed, āJohor Umno is controlled by the palace in making decisions.ā
Indeed,
even though Umno won a landslide victory of 40 of 56 seats in the last
state election, the party's choice of menteri besar was blocked by the
palace.
A Harapan win will only give sinking Anwar another breath of air, and lull him into thinking āall is fine, don't change things.ā
It's better to choose Bersama as a risk-free āprotest voteā to wake up Harapan.
Forget about the Islamic state fearmongering, as the palace is moderate and PAS is only contesting 11 seats anyway.
A
strong protest vote against Harapan is like giving a firm whack of the
rotan on a naughty boy's backside to make him change for the better.
Don't
worry, Harapan will still be there. But I hope that after a rude
āwake-up callā in Johor, the coalition will do real radical reforms in
its last year of power.
Then voters can decide if a new and improved āHarapan Baruā is still worth supporting.
COMMENT | Bravo, Guan Eng and Pua By Commander S THAYAPARAN (Retired) Royal Malaysian Navy
Monday, July 06, 2026
Malaysiakini : I have no idea why Lim and Pua would be singled out
now, which should have been a time for inclusive political optics since
the rakyat obviously approve of the completion of the LRT3 project.
The
quote that opens this piece is evidence that there was nothing done by
Lim and Pua which was not approved by former prime minister Dr Mahathir
Mohamad.
Former prime minister Dr Mahathir Mohamad
Keep
in mind that it does not matter whether this was a cabinet decision or
not, because the old maverick has publicly said that Lim could not and would not do anything without his approval.
āSo, how come he is said to be the one with the power? He had no power,ā the former prime minister said.
Furthermore,
when it comes to the benefit of the rakyat, the old maverick has said
it was Lim ā... who proposed for the federal government to give a
one-off payment of RM400 million to Kelantan, which was facing financial
trouble. Terengganu and Kedah, two other Malay-majority states, were
also given RM200 million each.ā
āThese two states were not even
Harapan states. They were the opposition, and they were Malay states.
But he (Lim) knew that there were many financial problems there,ā
Mahathir had said.
No one stops the gravy train
Now
what we have to remember is that these kinds of dynamics always play
out because the system is predicated on rewarding the sometimes-criminal
behaviour of the crony class, as the old maverick reminds us.
Former prime minister Najib Abdul Razak
āYou
canāt do that (terminate contracts under former prime minister Najib
Abdul Razakās administration) easily; you have to make considerations.
āAlthough the contractors may have bribed the (then) prime minister, he had given up a portion of his profit,ā Mahathir said.
The
problem with our tax ringgit is that its uses, which are supposed to be
for the rakyat, rarely work out that way because of the so-called
ādrainageā.
Bureaucrats
are oftentimes indifferent or complicit in these leakages. Former prime
minister Ismail Sabri Yaakob admitted that nobody in the vast
bureaucracy had any idea about the effectiveness of the governmentās many poverty alleviation programmes.
āMany
ministries had programmes on poverty alleviation, but there was no
specific monitoring of their effectiveness,ā Ismail said.
Former prime minister Ismail Sabri Yaakob
Monitoring
these programmes does not mean there would automatically be
transparency. This is because many of these programmes are part of the
gravy train driven by bureaucrats, political operatives, and their
various proxies.
Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim also recently
lamented the abuse of bumiputera loans, which tells rational Malaysians
everything we need to know about the average majority of rakyat who are
screwed over by the system, which has nothing to do with non-Malay
political operatives.
And let us be very clear, not only did the old maverick threaten to fire Lim a couple of times, but he also got into a public spat with Pua, labelling him (in a roundabout way) as arrogant.
The
response from these two men demonstrates that there were tensions
between the crony class and public servants who believed it was their
job to safeguard the public interest.
Theplutocratic class
Meanwhile,
PKR rabble rouser Hassan Abdul Karim has said that not only has there
been a return of the crony class, but now we have the Mahakaya.
You can discover the types of Remora capitalists (as I refer to them) in Hassanās warning, but pay attention to the third type: āThese people seem to enjoy immunity and cannot be touched due to the 3R ban.ā
The Pasir Gudang MP also noted their business dealings, even though this was expressly forbidden by the Federal Constitution.
Pasir Gudang MP Hassan Abdul Karim
And Mahathir did have his scraps with this type of class back in the day. As reported by The Independent, āIn the meantime, the government is waging all-out war on the rulers.ā
āCivil
servants have been told to seek the prime ministerās permission before
seeing the king; state governments are under orders to refuse business
favours to their rulers.
āReligious teachers have been encouraged to comment on the un-Islamic behaviour of the supposed guardians of Islam.ā
I want to be very clear. I am not saying that the party Lim and Pua represent is not linked in any way to the plutocratic class.
Indeed, it would be disingenuous to make that claim. It is no accident that the DAP got its moniker āDevelopment Action Partyā.
But
the reality is that, from public records and their responses, it is
evident that both men operating under the system they were under chose
to safeguard public interests, or at the very least attempted to do so.
We
can have a discussion about the numbers behind these kinds of projects,
but to further a specific type of narrative by singling out these two
is beyond the pale.
Najib gets his reputation laundered while Lim
and Pua get smeared as people who do not have the interests of the
rakyat at heart.
By not responding to these types of
criticisms, the only thing the DAP is doing is normalising narratives
that will damage its credibility with its base.
COMMENT - How to interpret the LRT3 fiscal controversy By Mariam Mokhtar
Friday, July 03, 2026
Malaysiakini : Unsurprisingly, competing political narratives quickly
surfaced around the LRT3 completion, with various camps seeking to
emphasise the roles played by their preferred leaders, Najib Abdul Razak
or Anwar Ibrahim.
Selangor ruler Sultan Sharafuddin Idris Shah
cautioned against any party attempting to claim sole credit and stated
that the original proposal for the LRT3 project had stemmed from his own
concerns about the daily commute faced by the rakyat.
At the same time, the royal statement also highlighted that during Lim Guan Engās tenure as finance minister, the project cost was reduced
and parts of the plan were revised, with fewer stations and train cars,
which critics characterised as reducing the overall āsizeā of the
project.
Two narratives
So, we are left with two clear narratives.
One
says that multiple administrations contributed to a successful public
transport project. The other argues that key decisions during the
rationalisation phase reduced the projectās original scope.
To
some people, the word ācutsā sounds simple and negative, as if something
was taken away; but in big infrastructure projects, things are not that
simple.
A change in cost or design can mean many things:
adjusting the plan to match real demand, fixing earlier cost estimates
that were too high, or changing contracts to stop future cost increases.
So,
what is termed a ācutā in politics may actually be something else in
finance, like a correction. Big projects like LRT3 rarely move in a
straight line. They evolve step by step.
First,
a plan is approved based on forecasts. Then construction starts. Then
real costs start to appear. Then problems and overruns become clear.
Then decisions are made to fix the situation.
By
the time correction happens, the project is already partly locked in,
and that is the stage where difficult decisions must be made. Continue
and let costs grow further. Or step in and control it.
Most people look at this as a political issue, whereas the real issue is how the contracts are designed.
Moreexpensive, higher fees
In
the original model, the project delivery partner was paid based on the
total value of the project, and that creates a simple problem.
If
the project becomes more expensive, fees can increase. This may not
necessarily be corruption, but it is a system that can encourage higher costs over time.
So
when the system was changed to fixed-price contracting, that mattered.
It was not just paperwork, but a way to control future spending. That is
what fiscal discipline actually looks like.
This problem is not unique to Malaysia. In the United Kingdom, the HS2 high-speed rail project has also faced ballooning costs, redesigns, delays, and scope changes.
Parts
have been reduced or reconsidered as costs became too high. Not because
anyone āfailedā, but because large infrastructure projects often cost
more than originally expected.
So, when that happens, governments must adjust.
With
the LRT3, the disagreement is not really about whether it should exist.
It does exist and the disagreement is about what certain decisions
mean.
One view says that reducing scope means the project was
weakened. Another view says that reducing scope means costs were brought
under control.
Both views sound reasonable, but they lead to very different conclusions about responsibility.
Nota simple story
Big
infrastructure projects are not one decision, but many decisions over
many years, so we should not treat them as one simple story.
There are different stages: approval, construction, adjustment
and completion. Each stage involves different people. Each has
different pressures. Thus, each stage should be judged differently.
The most important question is not who approved the project, or who completed it, or who inherited it.
The most important question is this: When costs started rising, were decisions
made early enough to prevent bigger financial damage later? Because in
public finance, the biggest risk is not change, but waiting too long to
change.
No one likes changes in big projects. They are hugely controversial and often criticised; but if no changes are made when costs rise, the problem can worsen.
Regrettably, the public pays for it later; through higher debt, higher taxes, or when other services are reduced.
That is the real trade-off.
The LRT3 line is now complete and that is good. However, completion should not stop questions.
We still need to ask how decisions
were made along the way. Not to blame individuals for political
reasons, but to understand whether public money is being managed
properly.
In the end, fiscal discipline is not about political narratives or competing claims of credit.
It
is about whether difficult decisions are made early enough to prevent
problems from becoming crises, or whether political narratives later
turn responsibility into blame.