Our military system and its successes are built on trust. The other stuff's important: marksmanship, fire discipline, skilled maneuver, equipment, maintenance, etc. But the key element is teamwork. We win on the battlefield, because we can count on each other.
Sounds simple. It ain't.
We're operating in societies in which trust is restricted to the family or, at most, the clan. Even within tribes, old feuds and suspicions limit cooperation. Life is a zero-sum game and power is to be hoarded, not shared. The top challenge in training local militaries in the greater Middle East isn't getting them to shoot straight (tough as that can be), but getting them to give each other straight answers.
The next-biggest problem is inculcating a culture of responsibility. Afghan and Iraqi officers -- to say nothing of NCOs -- learned long ago to duck responsibility, to kick even minor decisions up the chain of command. Our Marine Corps speaks of "strategic corporals." Middle Eastern militaries don't even have "strategic colonels."
So we're struggling to build efficient, effective forces in cultures where responsibility means risk, not reward, and in which you can't trust your brother officer to have your back. Critics in Washington focus on slow equipment deliveries, but a force built on trust and armed with truncheons will out-perform a unit with state-of-the-art weapons but torn by suspicion and haunted by old grudges.
In Iraq, we had the right formula early on -- "As the Iraqis stand up, we'll stand down" -- but Iraqi performance lagged behind our electoral timelines. Ultimately, though, progress in Iraq did come. Because Iraqis finally took responsibility, as Sunnis turned on al Qaeda and Shia turned against the militias.
Today, there's real hope in Iraq. If the Iraqi military and police can maintain national unity in their ranks.
Afghanistan's far tougher. Iraq had a budding sense of national identity. Afghanistan doesn't. Isolated successes, the inevitable "patriotic" Afghan captain trotted out by well-meaning US advisers, can't substitute for a broad sense of national destiny.
In Afghanistan, the Taliban shouldn't be our top concern. We can beat the Taliban every time. The crucial question is: How many times will we need to beat the Taliban before Afghans themselves stand up and fight?
At present, the Afghans aren't helping us out -- they're waiting us out. After 7½ years, our troops are still the only real Afghan army. We aren't training Afghan troops, we're empowering scavengers.
The Afghans don't really know what we're doing in their country. Neither do we.
Ralph Peters in The New York Post